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Lietkabelis vs Ulm prediction

HomeLietkabelis3–1, 3rd in Group DAwayUlm2–2, 5th in Group D
Tip-off
46%54%
Win probability

Our pick

Toss-up
Ulm to win

Prediction updated

Predicted score
85–86
Margin
+1

Who will win Lietkabelis vs Ulm?

The numbers side with Ulm (54%) on the road against Lietkabelis, with 86–85 the most likely shape of the final score.

Lietkabelis have won 3 of their last 4, scoring 80.3 and allowing 76.8 points a game over that stretch. Ulm have won 2 of their last 4, scoring 91.8 and allowing 91.3 points a game over that stretch.

Lietkabelis sit 3rd in the Group D at 3–1, while Ulm sit 5th in the Group D at 2–2.

On adjusted efficiency, Lietkabelis rate +0.7 and Ulm -0.1 points per game against an average side, a 0.8-point edge to Lietkabelis. Home court is worth about 3.6 points in this competition.

The betting market agrees: once the bookmaker margin is removed it prices Ulm at 55% across 5 bookmakers.

Ulm to win (54%). Projected score: 86–85. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Tale of the tape

LietkabelisBefore tip-offUlm
  • 3–1Season record2–2
  • 2–0Home / road recordThe home team at home, the away team on the road0–2
  • 3–1Last 10 games2–2
  • W2Current streakL1
  • 80.3Points per game91.8
  • 76.8Points allowed per game91.3
  • +3.5Average margin+0.5
  • 2 daysRest before this game5 days
  • 1Games in the last 7 days1
  • 28.8Rebounds per game27.8
  • 15.3Assists per game20.0
  • 7.8Three-pointers made per game10.5
  • 33.2Bench points per game37.8
  • +0.7Net ratingPoints per game better or worse than an average side−0.1
  • −1.1AttackPoints scored above average, adjusted for opponents+2.3
  • +1.9DefencePoints kept below average, adjusted for opponents−2.4
  • +3.6Home courtWorth this many points in this competition–

Team numbers per game from the last 4 box scores; records and scoring from this season in this competition.

Quarter by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4
Lietkabelis−3.714.8–18.5+6.824.8–18.0+1.022.5–21.5−0.518.3–18.8
Ulm+2.025.3–23.3−2.823.0–25.8+3.721.0–17.3−2.522.5–25.0

Average margin per period over each team's last 10 games in this competition, with scored–allowed underneath.

Key matchup

K. KennedyLietkabelisVSJ. SimsUlm

Leading scorers · averages over the last 4 games

  • 13.0Points16.5
  • 2.8Rebounds4.3
  • 1.8Assists2.3
  • 1.4Three-pointers made2.0
  • 22.4Minutes28.2

Team leaders

LietkabelisThis seasonUlm

Per-game averages this season in this competition from the box scores so far (3 per team); current squads only.

Key battles

Guards
Ognjen JaramazVSMarvin Heckel
PTS
7.6·3.3
REB
3.6·0.0
AST
3.0·3.0
Starters
A. SchumacherVSJ. Sims
PTS
12.0·16.5
REB
2.6·4.3
AST
3.0·2.3
Starters
M. IlicVSI. Watson-Boye
PTS
5.2·13.3
REB
4.4·3.0
AST
0.8·4.5
Cross-matchup
Ivan FevrierVSM. Rataj
PTS
12.0·11.5
REB
3.2·2.3
AST
0.4·1.3
Cross-matchup
Daniel BaslykVSA. Traore
PTS
5.4·8.0
REB
2.6·4.5
AST
0.4·1.3

Player projectionsPro

Likely lineups

Home
Lietkabelis

Likely starting five

  1. A. Schumacher
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    12.0
  2. Ognjen Jaramaz
    Guard · Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    7.6
  3. Ivan Fevrier
    Forward · Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    12.0
  4. Daniel Baslyk
    Forward · Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    5.4
  5. M. Ilic
    Started 5 of last 5
    PPG
    5.2
Away
Ulm

Likely starting five

  1. I. Watson-Boye
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    13.3
  2. M. Rataj
    Started 4 of last 4
    PPG
    11.5
  3. A. Traore
    Started 3 of last 4
    PPG
    8.0
  4. J. Sims
    Started 3 of last 4
    PPG
    16.5
  5. Marvin Heckel
    Guard · Started 2 of last 4
    PPG
    3.3
Full lineups and benchPlayer stats and season averages
Photo credits (2)

Recent form

Lietkabelis

3–1

3–1, 3rd in Group D

Ulm

2–2

2–2, 5th in Group D

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day